The Vital Agniveer Scheme: Lessons from Afghanistan, Bangladesh, and Strategic Implications for India

  • | Monday | 12th August, 2024

By Animesh Ikshit

The global security landscape is increasingly unpredictable, with nations facing threats from various quarters. The situation in Afghanistan following the U.S. withdrawal, the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, China`s growing assertiveness, and the evolving dynamics in Bangladesh with CIA assistance all underscore the need for countries like India to reassess their security strategies. Amidst this global turmoil, the Agniveer scheme, launched by PM Modi-led NDA in 2022, emerges as a timely and crucial initiative for India. Opposition needs to put the matter up for nation building rather than confronting the government, collaboration can supersede confrontation.

Strategic Significance of the Agniveer Scheme

India`s position as a key player in the Asia-Pacific and Indian Ocean regions is well-recognized. With over 70% of global trade passing through the Indian Ocean, India has a significant role in ensuring regional stability. The Agniveer scheme, which focuses on creating a technologically advanced, youthful, and agile military force, is essential for maintaining India`s strategic autonomy and addressing emerging threats.

The Agniveer scheme offers several advantages:

1. Technological Focus: The nature of warfare is evolving, with conflicts no longer confined to traditional battlefields. The future will see multi-dimensional warfare, including cyber and space domains. The Agniveer scheme emphasises the need to integrate technology into military operations, ensuring that India remains prepared for such scenarios.

2. Economic Viability: The scheme offers a cost-effective approach to maintaining a ready and responsive military force. By employing young soldiers for a fixed term, the government can optimise resources while ensuring that the armed forces remain youthful and dynamic.

3. Combat Readiness: The experience of countries like Ukraine, which built a large reserve of combat-experienced personnel through short-term enlistments, highlights the importance of having a pool of trained individuals ready for rapid deployment. The Agniveer scheme provides India with a similar advantage.

Agniveers: Ahead of the Competition

One of the most significant aspects of the Agniveer scheme is the unique position it offers to those who complete their service. By the time an Agniveer retires, typically between the ages of 21.5 and 25 years, they would have gained invaluable experience, discipline, and training that places them well ahead of their peers.

- Financial Stability: An Agniveer would have earned approximately ₹28,45,000 by the time they retire, including their cumulative salary and the Seva Nidhi package. This financial security at such a young age provides them with the flexibility to pursue further education, entrepreneurial ventures, or other career opportunities without the immediate pressure of financial constraints.

- Skills and Experience: Beyond financial stability, Agniveers would have acquired skills and experience that are highly valued in various sectors, including private military companies (PMCs), which are becoming increasingly significant in global security dynamics. Their training, discipline, and adaptability make them prime candidates for employment in security roles both within India and abroad.

Lessons from Afghanistan, Bangladesh, and the Role of PMCs

The situation in Afghanistan post-U.S. withdrawal has shown how critical it is for nations to secure their assets and maintain influence in strategically important regions. A similar situation could emerge in Bangladesh in the days to come. Private Military Companies (PMCs) have played a crucial role in this regard, often filling gaps left by traditional military forces. The U.S. and other countries have long relied on PMCs to protect their interests globally.

For India, the Agniveer scheme could serve as a stepping stone towards developing its own PMC capabilities. By utilising the pool of well-trained, disciplined ex-Agniveers, India could project power and protect its assets in regions where a direct military presence might be diplomatically sensitive. This approach would allow India to safeguard its interests, such as energy resources in East Africa or trade routes under the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC) and the Arab-Mediterranean corridor, without the need for a permanent military footprint.

Challenges and the Road Ahead

With growing resistance from the opposition at the parliament, the government must address several critical issues to ensure the success of the Agniveer scheme:

1. Parity in Leave and Pay: This is a prerequisite to maintaining morale and fairness within the ranks. The government must ensure that Agniveers receive comparable leave and pay benefits to regular soldiers.

2. Retention Percentage: The retention rate should be set at a minimum of 50%. If not, the Indian Army, in particular, could see its strength sink to one-third of its present capacity. Unlike the U.S., India has extensive borders to defend, and we are far from becoming a space power capable of substituting traditional ground forces. A higher retention rate would also help prevent potential mutinous situations in adverse conditions.

3. Clarity of Purpose: Multiple statements in favour of the scheme are unlikely to convince sceptics. What is needed is a clear, consistent, and unified message from the government that outlines the scheme`s long-term benefits.

4. Recruitment Concerns: The state of recruitment in the Indian Army has fallen drastically, with 45% of recruits opting for it only after failing in Central Armed Police Forces (CAPF) options. Additionally, 37% of personnel would not recommend joining the forces to their relatives or friends. This declining morale needs urgent attention.

The Time for Action is Now

Retired Lt General, explained that the government must take decisive action this year to address these concerns. By 2027, the first batches of Agniveers will begin retiring, and if their experiences are negative, they could become potential negative ambassadors for both the scheme and the current government. This is particularly concerning as it would coincide with the run-up to the 2029 general elections. As evolution is necessary for survival, so too is course correction essential for the long-term success of a project like Agniveer. By addressing the challenges and refining the scheme, the government can ensure that Agniveer becomes a cornerstone of India`s national security and development strategy for years to come.

 

The Agniveer scheme is a forward-looking initiative that addresses both current and future security challenges facing India. By learning from the experiences of countries like Bangladesh, Afghanistan, and Ukraine, India can leverage the Agniveer scheme to build a technologically advanced, agile, and economically viable military force. As these young Agniveers retire, they will find themselves well-positioned both financially and professionally, far ahead of their peers busy creating and consuming content online, and ready to contribute to India`s security and prosperity in new and innovative ways. Rather than viewing Agniveer solely as an employment scheme, it should be regarded as a character and nation-building initiative integral to education.


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